INTRODUCTION
In Korea, the cause-specific death rate of fall accidents was 4.6 per 100,000 people in 2013, a rate even higher than for breast cancer, sepsis, and tuberculosis (4.4, 4.3, and 4.1) [
1]. As falls are the third highest non-disease cause of death in Korea, it is critical to have a better understanding of fall accident trends. Since 2008, the Korean Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) have conducted an annual national health survey, the Korean Community Health Survey (KCHS), which covers a wide variety of health topics, including extensive information regarding falls [
2].
Unfortunately, although the nationwide survey data has been available to the public, most Korean research papers cite foreign studies to describe the incidence of falls in Korea [
3,
4,
5], and the information about falls from the cited Western studies is often outdated [
6,
7]. Several studies have reported incidence rates in Korea; however, the results were not consistent due to varying sample size, small resident area, a specific target population, and differing methodological approaches [
3,
4,
5,
8]. For example, an observational study randomly recruited 335 community-dwelling older adults from a cohort study and reported that 15% of their sample had experienced falls. In contrast, a prospective study reported a high fall occurrence of 41.6% when they conducted personal interviews in a small city with 260 community dwelling older adults [
4].
Since 2008, the KCDC has annually reported summary statistics of the KCHS, including falls [
9,
10]. In addition, a recent study used the 2011 KCHS to report the prevalence of falls [
11]. However, the minimally descriptive report is limited to single annual fall information only [
10,
11]. It is unclear whether the trends of falls among community dwelling adults have been consistent or varied dramatically in consecutive years in Korea, because few studies have been conducted using national data to examine falls over extended time periods.
An investigation of a series of national level datasets may provide important information about the general trends in fall accidents in Korea. The general trends will outline the change in relationships between fall accidents and demographic characteristics and environmental factors for consecutive years. Therefore, the aim of this study is to investigate the incidence rates of fall accidents and the characteristics of people who experienced falls during a 7-year period (2008–2013) in South Korea.
RESULTS
The sample sizes of the data were 220,258 in 2008, 230,715 in 2009, 229,229 in 2010, 229,226 in 2011, and 228,781 in 2013.
Table 2 presents the descriptive characteristics of the study participants who experienced at least 1 fall accident that required medical treatment during the last 12 months in each year. Females had more fall accidents than males in each year (p<0.001). The proportion of females who experienced fall accidents gradually increased across the 5-year datasets (53.43% in 2008 to 58.24% in 2013; p<0.001).
Fig. 1 presents the trends of fall accidents in age groups across the consecutive years. Fall accidents in adults between the ages of 18 and 44 years rapidly increased between 2010 and 2011 (p<0.001). Fall accidents in adults between the ages of 45 and 65 years old consistently decreased, except for 2010 (p<0.001). Fall accidents in adults over 85 years old gradually decreased, except in 2009 (p<0.001). Fall accidents in adults between the ages of 65 and 84 years rapidly decreased between 2010 and 2011 (p<0.001). Since 2008, the incidence rates (per 100,000 people) of falls increased significantly (p<0.001), and the incidence rate in 2013 (3,423 per 100,000 people) was 2.74 times of the incidence rate in 2008 (1,248 per 100,000 people).
Fig. 2 presents the incidence rates among age groups across consecutive years. Old age groups demonstrated high incidence rates compared to young age groups, figures not shown. At the same time, the percentage of indoor fall accidents also consistently decreased from 31.12% in 2008 to 23.16% in 2013 (p<0.001). The correlation between the incidence rates and proportion of indoor fall accidents, and the correlation between the incidence rates and proportion of outdoor fall accidents in 2008, 2009, 2011, and 2013 showed strong relationships (r=−0.99, p=0.007 and r=0.99, p=0.007, respectively).
Table 2 presents a significant increase in the number of individuals experiencing more than 2 fall accidents, from 4.09% in 2011 to 33.17% in 2013 (p<0.001). In 2009, people experienced fall accidents while performing basic daily activities (55.58%), working (21.28%), other activities (7.29%), exercise (7.33%), social activities (4.50%), playing (3.02%), and studying (0.98%).
The major reason for fall accidents was slippery floors (33.7% in 2011 and 36.3% in 2013), with additional reasons including the following: making a false step (19.8% in 2011 and 19.1% in 2013), caught in a footpath or the threshold (11.1% in 2011 and 12.4% in 2013), felt dizzy or falling unconscious (11.04% in 2011 and 11.5% in 2013), hit by people or objects (10.4% in 2011 and 9.7% in 2013), other people caused the fall (9.7% in 2011 and 6.7% in 2013), steep slopes (3.5% in 2011 and 3.2% in 2013), and poor lighting (0.9% in 2011 and 0.6% in 2013). Most fall accidents occurred in August and September in 2008, 2009, and 2010.
Fig. 3 presents the frequency of fall accidents across a 12-month period between 2008 and 2010. The overall fall accident frequency for the 3 consecutive years demonstrated similar trends. Fall accidents increased in July and reached the highest fall accident frequency in August and September. Fall accidents decreased in October and reached the lowest frequency in November.
Table 3 represents the multivariable logistic regression analysis of the risk of fall accidents in the most recent dataset of 2010. The following multivariable-adjusted ORs predicted a higher risk of fall accidents: in specific months (OR for August and September, 33.27; 95% CI, 29.29–37.78), older age (OR per 10 years, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.09–1.20), female gender (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.14–1.57), current alcohol intake (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.10–1.35), current smokers (OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.14–1.54), and in people with diabetes (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.00–1.47), osteoarthritis (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.04–1.46), osteoporosis (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.46–2.16), and depression (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.17–2.06). Being married (OR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76–0.95) and having a higher education (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.73–0.99) were associated with a lower risk of fall accidents while being overweight, household income levels, residence type, physical activity, stroke history, and cataract history were not associated with a risk of any fall accidents in the past 12 months. The interaction effects between the specific month (August and September) and the rest of variables was also investigated. The specific month demonstrated the interaction effects with age (OR per 10 years, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04–1.21), female gender (OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.21–1.96) and physical activity (OR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.58–0.92). The risk factors of experiencing multiple fall accidents were higher in people with cataracts (OR, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.37–5.52) and in current smokers (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.15–3.74) by more than 2 times; however, increased age (per 10 years) was associated with a low risk of multiple fall accidents compared to people between the ages of 18 and 29 years (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.52–0.77).
Table 4 presents the multivariable logistic regression model for the risk of fear of falls in 2013. People who experienced 1 fall accident (OR, 2.12; 95% CI, 2.04–2.12) and who had more than 2 fall accidents (OR, 2.97; 95% CI, 2.83–3.10) felt more fear of falls than those who had no fall accident experience within the last 12 months. Older adults, females, attached house dwellers (apartment or town house), or a presence of diabetes, osteoarthritis, osteoporosis, depression, hypertension, stroke, and cataracts were also associated with a higher risk of fear of falls. In contrast, people who were overweight, married, highly educated, wealthier, physically active, current alcohol intake, and current smokers had a lower risk of fear of falling.
DISCUSSION
We have identified the trends regarding fall accidents in Korean adults between 2008 and 2013 and found that fall accidents requiring medical treatments had increased over time. Adult females between 64 and 85 years old were more likely to experience fall accidents. The number of outdoor fall accidents and the number of adults having more than 2 fall accidents have increased over time. Variables associated with fall accident risks included specific months (August and September), age (10 years), female gender, current alcohol intake, current smoker, diabetes, osteoarthritis, osteoporosis, and depression. The major reason for fall accidents was slippery floors, and when people had fall accidents, they understandably expressed more fear of falling than those who had had no fall accidents.
To our knowledge, this study is the first to investigate the trends of fall accidents using a nationally representative sample of Korean adults for consecutive years. Although a previous study investigated risk factors of fall accidents using a national level dataset, the results were limited to a specific year and a population aged 65 years or older [
11]. On the other hand, by analyzing the trends of fall accidents in various demographics and environmental characteristics for a consecutive 3-year period, we identified that seasonal changes, especially in August and September, was the major factor for fall accidents (25.2% of falls). The seasonal change was previously an unknown risk factor for fall accidents, in contrast with age, which was the major risk factor of fall accidents identified by previous Korean and Western studies [
11,
14]. The seasonal change demonstrated interaction effects with age (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04–1.21), female (OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.21–1.96), and physical activity (OR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.58–0.92) indicating that adults over 30 years old experienced (per 10 years) 12% increased odds of fall accidents and females have a greater than 20% increased risk of fall accidents in August and September in 2010.
We were not able to test the interaction effects between the seasonal change and outdoor fall accidents with logistic regression models because the 2010 dataset did not contain the outdoor fall accident variable and there were considerable missing data in the outdoor fall accident variable in other available datasets, such as 96% missing data in 2008 and 95% missing data in 2009. Instead, we used chi-square tests for the interaction effects between seasonal change and the outdoor fall accident variable using the 2008 and 2009 dataset. In both datasets, there were significant relationships between outdoor fall accidents and seasonal change (p<0.001). However, as the results were not adjusted for other demographics and covariates, further studies are needed to test the interaction effects between outdoor fall accidents and seasonal change.
During these same months, among people who reported being regularly physically active (more than 2 days), the risk of falling was 27% lower compared to those who were never physically active. However, the fall accident frequencies across month are not consistent with previous studies [
8,
15]. In our study, most adults over 65 years old had fall accidents in August (16.6%). A prospective study reported that older adults frequently had falls in April (12.8%) and December (11.7%) [
8]. A community-based study found that 38.9% of falls occurred between March and May [
15]. Although the differences could be influenced by recall bias, a particular sub-population, and loss of memory in older adults, our findings were consistent for 3 consecutive years from 2008 to 2010.
The increasing fall accidents in Korea may be explained by environmental factors, such as lifestyle changes across the nation. Korea has experienced remarkable socioeconomic growth that has resulted in significant changes in nutrition, leisure, and lifestyle [
16]. For example, 48% of Koreans spent more than 3 hours of leisure time on weekends in 2011, and 61% of people reported spending the same amount of leisure time in 2013 [
17]. In 2012, Koreans enjoyed more outdoor leisure activities (58.0%) than indoor activities (41.9%) [
18]. Our findings also suggested that the lifestyle changes are associated with increasing fall accidents (r=0.99, p=0.007), and the proportion of outdoor falls has increased from 68.9% in 2008 to 76.8% in 2013.
Our finding that females had more fall accidents than males is consistent with previous Korean and Western studies [
4,
11,
14,
15]. The differences in muscle strength levels may contribute to the high rate of falls in women. The loss of lower body strength is strongly associated with increasing risk of fall accidents [
19,
20]. Previous Western studies have suggested that men have greater lower body strength than women [
19,
20,
21] and, thus, males were at a relatively lower risk of falls compared to women. Unfortunately, the KCHS is based on interviews and does not include physiological measures, such as muscle strength, difference in gate, or knee action; therefore, we were not able to test the gender difference in relation to physiological functions. A possible explanation is that a high risk of falls in women was associated with osteoporosis [
22]. Our finding supports the fact that women were at a higher risk of osteoporosis than men (OR, 8.28; 95% CI, 7.33–9.36). However, future research is needed to clarify the relationship between gender difference and risk of fall accidents.
Between 2008 and 2013, the proportion of people experiencing more than 2 fall accidents in a 12-month period has consistently increased, and people suffering more than 2 fall accidents felt more fear of falling than non-fallers (OR, 2.97; 95% CI, 2.83–3.10). A previous study suggested that 46% of healthy older people were afraid of falling, and 56% of them curtailed daily activities due to their fear [
23]. Reduced physical capacity can also increase the risk of falls [
19,
20]. Thus, with the trend of multiple fall accidents increasing along with their fear of falling, community dwelling Korean people are expected to be at a greater risk of potential falls than previously.
Various fall prevention programs showed their effectiveness at preventing fall accidents, such as multiple-component group exercise, assessment and multifactorial intervention, and home modification [
24]. Also, various fall prevention programs and interventions have been established in Korea [
25]. Despite these efforts, the fall incidence rate has increased since 2008. Fall accidents can cause severe injuries (or even death), as well as causing an increased social burden [
1]. As the Korean population ages, fall accidents are expected to increase. Due to the multifactorial characteristics of effective fall prevention programs (i.e., general medical assessment focusing on fall risks, fall history, medication intake, and the use of assistive devices) [
26], individuals may not benefit from a fall prevention program without comprehensive social support. Thus, Korean society may need to establish a systematic social support system to prevent fall accidents.
This study has several limitations. Firstly, questions from each dataset concerning fall accidents and related information were not consistent each year, except for the number of fall accidents. For example, between 2008 and 2010, falls were defined as having at least1 fall that required seeking medical treatment in the past year; however, since 2011, the KCHS has asked more comprehensive questions about fall accidents, both those requiring and not requiring medical treatment. In addition, some questions, such as reasons for falls, location of falls, fear of falling, and activities when falls occurred, were limited in a specific year. For these reasons, we were not able to test their trends. Therefore, the KCHS should include consistent questions about fall accidents in order to track stable trends. Secondly, the high increase in incidence rates between 2010 and 2011 could be a function of inconsistent questioning concerning fall accidents in the KCHS, such as the model of questioning regarding fall accidents. Therefore, the incidence rates after 2011 and 2013 could be inflated, compared to the incidence rates in 2008, 2009, and 2010. Finally, the KCHS does not include people in medical hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, and military facilities, so the results of similar analysis among those groups may differ.